Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.003956 0.004160 0.004369 0.004601 0.004849 0.005108 0.005400
2025-07-20 0.003650 0.003959 0.004289 0.004670 0.005100 0.005570 0.006127
2025-07-27 0.003394 0.003755 0.004153 0.004625 0.005175 0.005799 0.006565
2025-08-03 0.003205 0.003602 0.004049 0.004594 0.005244 0.006002 0.006965
2025-08-10 0.003047 0.003470 0.003955 0.004557 0.005293 0.006173 0.007322
2025-08-17 0.002973 0.003429 0.003960 0.004633 0.005474 0.006505 0.007887
2025-08-24 0.002863 0.003336 0.003895 0.004616 0.005534 0.006682 0.008262
2025-08-31 0.002757 0.003242 0.003824 0.004584 0.005569 0.006825 0.008593
2025-09-07 0.002649 0.003140 0.003736 0.004524 0.005561 0.006908 0.008842
2025-09-14 0.002548 0.003043 0.003649 0.004461 0.005544 0.006973 0.009066
2025-09-21 0.002487 0.002992 0.003618 0.004467 0.005616 0.007160 0.009467
2025-09-28 0.002368 0.002864 0.003483 0.004331 0.005490 0.007065 0.009456
2025-10-05 0.002315 0.002819 0.003455 0.004335 0.005557 0.007244 0.009858
2025-10-12 0.002289 0.002808 0.003470 0.004400 0.005708 0.007550 0.010469
2025-10-19 0.002223 0.002743 0.003411 0.004358 0.005708 0.007635 0.010744
2025-10-26 0.002165 0.002687 0.003363 0.004329 0.005723 0.007740 0.011056
2025-11-02 0.002110 0.002631 0.003312 0.004295 0.005728 0.007831 0.011347
2025-11-09 0.002095 0.002630 0.003336 0.004366 0.005888 0.008162 0.012050
2025-11-16 0.002051 0.002587 0.003300 0.004350 0.005919 0.008294 0.012427
2025-11-23 0.002004 0.002540 0.003257 0.004321 0.005927 0.008389 0.012747
2025-11-30 0.001951 0.002482 0.003197 0.004265 0.005893 0.008415 0.012944
2025-12-07 0.001899 0.002425 0.003136 0.004207 0.005851 0.008426 0.013115
2025-12-14 0.001871 0.002399 0.003120 0.004212 0.005909 0.008600 0.013591